Description

This analysis provides a forecast of XLM prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-04-13 0.146984 0.167841 0.191494 0.220484 0.255310 0.296115 0.348009
2025-04-20 0.114237 0.141083 0.174816 0.221097 0.284198 0.369152 0.495638
2025-04-27 0.095529 0.125056 0.165165 0.225335 0.316470 0.455037 0.694043
2025-05-04 0.082859 0.113506 0.157787 0.229263 0.347676 0.548365 0.946265
2025-05-11 0.074056 0.105340 0.152952 0.234837 0.381833 0.657544 1.284842
2025-05-18 0.066661 0.097809 0.147313 0.237192 0.410353 0.766686 1.692716
2025-05-25 0.060553 0.091233 0.141851 0.238248 0.436233 0.880644 2.197869
2025-06-01 0.055168 0.085012 0.135857 0.236814 0.456372 0.990439 2.789649
2025-06-08 0.050335 0.079067 0.129384 0.232994 0.470106 1.091014 3.458005
2025-06-15 0.047563 0.076299 0.128180 0.239465 0.509471 1.280997 4.713916
2025-06-22 0.043831 0.071395 0.122276 0.234774 0.520063 1.392666 5.803279
2025-06-29 0.041346 0.068473 0.119780 0.237095 0.549822 1.585003 7.704415
2025-07-06 0.038502 0.064652 0.115134 0.233905 0.564506 1.738788 9.790595
2025-07-13 0.036599 0.062429 0.113469 0.237583 0.601083 2.007435 13.694558
2025-07-20 0.035050 0.060729 0.112670 0.243276 0.646491 2.356220 20.122310
2025-07-27 0.033558 0.058989 0.111556 0.247968 0.690960 2.748581 30.013829
2025-08-03 0.032312 0.057616 0.111065 0.254255 0.744153 3.252540 47.562445
2025-08-10 0.030917 0.055808 0.109371 0.256904 0.785577 3.746511 74.009004
2025-08-17 0.029547 0.053929 0.107296 0.258087 0.822381 4.269768 116.962865
2025-08-24 0.028126 0.051825 0.104457 0.256504 0.847662 4.756440 182.089490
2025-08-31 0.026673 0.049539 0.100949 0.252278 0.860289 5.171808 276.012164
2025-09-07 0.025953 0.048781 0.101065 0.259442 0.929037 6.242053 623.053548
2025-09-14 0.024648 0.046640 0.097538 0.254248 0.936590 6.727080 1049.263493